Just a quick disclaimer, if you’re new to my blog … I am not a licensed financial advisor and any investment carries risk , so always do your own due diligence before investing. I have been a full time day trader for two years and the information I am providing is based on my opinions and research but it in no way is intended as financial advice . I try to focus on strategy more than specific plays for this reason ..I hope to educate you and you can make decisions based on what you’ve learned here.
That being said … I absolutely love earnings season and this one in particular has some set ups that are looking like a few easier slam dunks than the last few earnings.
TSLA reporting January 29th
Deliveries were down, they have a Morningstar rating of one star which means they’re significantly overvalued, Wall Street analysts have an average price target of $336.96 which is about an 18% drop. On the surface, it sounds like it will be a miss and puts would be the way to go . However, if they’re guidance rocks ( robotics, cheaper cars, etc) .. they could miss earnings and the stock could go through the roof. If I play this, I’ll be getting a very expensive straddle ( a put and a call) .
META reporting January 29th
Meta is expected to beat expectations. They’ve increased ad revenue using generative AI, they’ve reduced costs, and already addressed their 2025 capex of $60- $65 billion for advancements in AI and state of the art data centers . It looks positive but anything AI related might continue to get hammered until the Deep Seek price tag is determined to be a lie.
Public service announcement:
With Mag 7 stocks during earnings, there is very high volatility and high volume . The safest way to play earnings is right up until the bell and close out and then start up again in the morning when you know what direction the wind is blowing. If you can’t afford to or you neglect to buy a put AND a call , you’re not daytrading… You’re gambling. Earnings is as high risk as it gets and there is no way to know you’re right if you only do one or the other.
AAPL reporting January 30th
Disappointing innovation, lower demand particularly in China, expectations on this one are a little bleak with an expected 15.5% downside .